Dr Sandy Burden from NIASRA at UOW has been awarded an Australian Research Council DECRA Fellowship for 2017 – 2019.

Her research aims to develop statistical tools to improve prediction of environmental exceedances (locations where the environmental process of interest exceeds a given threshold). It is motivated by the compelling need to predict the effect of changing greenhouse gas concentrations on Earth’s atmosphere for political, social and economic decision making. The project will investigate innovative methods for predicting exceedances based on output from multiple related scientific models. The use of computationally efficient modelling and visualisation techniques will be required, and assessment measures that are appropriate for predicted exceedances will be investigated.